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Analysis & opinion

The Blog

Longer-form pieces from Fundamento Research — opinionated, sourced, and aimed at decisions, not just description. Subscribe to alerts for the topics you care about.

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· 7 min read

The 2026 debt wall is already reshaping office pricing

$875B in CRE maturities this year, CMBS distress at 17.4% in office. The extend-and-pretend cycle is ending — and the next 18 months will produce realized losses, not just paper ones.

· 6 min read

Senior housing — the strongest demographic bet of the decade

The 80+ population grows 4%+ annually through 2035. Supply growth is structurally capped at 1–2%. Occupancy hit 88.7% in Q3 2025, the highest since 2019. Few real estate theses are this mechanical.

· 8 min read

1031 vs. OZ: a decision framework for the post-OBBB era

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act made Opportunity Zones permanent. That changes the math meaningfully — but not in the direction most CPAs are pitching.

· 7 min read

The LatAm–Miami corridor: structural, not cyclical

$4.4B in foreign South Florida purchases in 2025 (+42% YoY). 49% of new construction sold to international buyers; 86% of those were Latin Americans. Five years of data have now closed the "is this cyclical?" debate.

· 5 min read

Cost segregation in 2026: when the numbers actually work

Bonus depreciation is phasing down (40% in 2025, 20% in 2026, 0% in 2027). Cost-seg ROI is shrinking too — but for properties over $500K basis, it still clears the math at high marginal rates.

· 6 min read

What the RealPage settlement means for multifamily

The DOJ consent decree (Nov 2025) didn't ban revenue management software — but it ended the 200 bps operating-spread advantage early adopters captured in 2020–2023. The mid-market multifamily edge case has changed.

· 7 min read

Climate risk: the insurance-first underwriting framework

93% of homeowners are concerned about climate damage. 49% may move because of it. The biggest single variable in real estate underwriting for 2026 isn't price — it's next-decade insurance trajectory.

· 6 min read

Data centers are the new trophy office (and the new risks)

Vacancy at 1%, rents +9% in 2025, $710B in hyperscaler capex committed for 2026. The strongest growth theme in real estate — with hyperscaler concentration risk that nobody is fully pricing.

· 5 min read

House hacking after 2024: is the math still working?

With FHA at 3.5% down and rates at 6.75%, the classic house hack still pencils — but you need to be more selective about market and unit count than 2020 buyers did.

· 6 min read

Why mid-tier real estate funds are the most threatened product format

The top 5 platforms control 30%+ of institutional AUM. Sub-$5B funds can't clear LP minimums. The middle band ($5–25B AUM) is being squeezed by both ends.